When markets spiral and the nightly news feels like a financial horror show, even disciplined investors can feel the pull to do something — anything — to protect their savings. That anxiety is entirely understandable. But the investors who acted on that impulse during the worst of the Iran war sell-off have already paid the price: The S&P 500 has since surged to new all-time highs, closing at 7,408 on May 15, 2026 (1).
It’s also one of the most dangerous forces in investing, according to personal finance powerhouse Suze Orman and markets expert Keith Fitz-Gerald.
In a video posted to YouTube in late March 2026, with the Iran war entering its fifth week and global markets in disarray, Orman sat down with Fitz-Gerald — a private investor, analyst and market researcher with more than three decades of experience — to cut through the noise (2). Nearly two months later, their advice looks prescient.
“Everything now is dependent on one thing and one thing only,” she told Fitz-Gerald. “And that is oil, in my opinion.”
At the time, it was hard to argue with her logic. Wall Street had just finished its fifth-straight week of losses — with the S&P 500 falling to 8.7% below its all-time high set in January 2026 — amid fears that surging oil prices would trigger inflationary waves throughout the global economy (3). Here in Canada, the S&P/TSX Composite Index was also down since the hostilities began on February 28, 2026, according to The Canadian Press (4). Those fears proved well-founded: WTI crude has surged more than 50% since the war began — from around $62 a barrel in January to over $106 in early May — and U.S. consumer prices jumped 3.8% year-over-year in April, the biggest increase in three years.
Since then, the recovery has been far more dramatic than anyone expected. The S&P 500 advanced 9% in April alone — its strongest monthly performance since 2020 — and closed above 7,200 for the first time ever on April 29. But the rally hasn't been a straight line: on May 3, WTI crude spiked 4.4% to $106.42 a barrel after a UAE missile interception reignited war fears, dragging both American and Canadian stock prices lower once again. By mid-May, however, the S&P 500 had pushed through to a new all-time high of 7,408 (5).
If anything, these events confirm Orman's statements from late March, making them look prophetic. "Now we're watching oil go up and up and up and sometimes it comes back down. And when it comes back down, that's when we see the markets go up," she said in the March video. By mid-April, she was even more direct, telling listeners that "the S&P 500 is now tracking oil prices almost tick-for-tick" due to the conflict and urging investors to resist the urge to panic-sell.
This volatile dance between two unruly partners — oil prices as the lead, with stocks following — shows no sign of ending. On May 11, U.S. President Donald Trump rejected a peace proposal from Tehran (6) and declared that the ceasefire is "on massive life support." As CFRA chief investment strategist Sam Stovall cautioned, "before a continuation of the current bull market run, the S&P 500 may need to take some time to catch its breath."
Still, Orman and Fitz-Gerald's perspective on how everyday investors can navigate this uncertainty remains as relevant as ever — regardless of what geopolitical unrest may be testing investor confidence.Here’s a closer look at the advice they gave to their listeners — and how Canadians can benefit from it.
What investors can do to start right now
Orman started out by reminding listeners that stock fundamentals, including earnings and profitability, had been solid right up until the war began, and that peaks and valleys are part of the natural course of stock market performance.
In other words, these swings shouldn’t thwart the compounding power of staying invested, even if the going gets tough temporarily. For Canadians, this advice applies whether they’re holding a Tax-Free Savings Account (TFSA), a Registered Retirement Savings Plan (RRSP) or a non-registered brokerage account.
And for Canadians who are particularly adverse to risk, a good start could be to open a TFSA or RRSP high-interest savings account, which combines above-average interest rates with the normal tax advantages of making contributions to a TFSA or RRSP.
In 2026, these kinds of accounts are becoming more affordable than ever, as competition between banks drives fees lower. For instance, it’s now possible to secure an RRSP high-interest savings account with no fees through institutions like EQ Bank. With the EQ Bank RRSP Savings Account, not only do you get to avoid monthly fees and minimum balance requirements, but you also get an annual interest rate of 1.5%, so you can maximize that tax-deferred growth on your savings.
Plus, for a limited time, get up to $200 cash when you add new deposits to your EQ Bank RRSP Savings Account.
Don’t panic: Stay with your investments for the long term
If you watch your portfolio daily and react in panic to every headline by selling or moving to cash, you won’t see the long-term benefits.
Both Orman and Fitz-Gerald agree that when the market stabilizes, we’ll see it skyrocket again. Fitz-Gerald even warns that “everybody who thinks they’re being smart by stepping out right now is going to get left behind (1).”
For Canadian investors, history backs this up. The S&P/TSX Composite Index surged 833 points — its biggest single-session rally in nearly a year — on March 31, 2026, when fresh optimism about a potential end to the Iran war swept through Bay Street (6).
Investors who had exited the week prior missed every point of that gain.
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Choose stable stocks
When Orman asked Fitz-Gerald what to do if your tech holdings are sinking, his answer wasn’t to sell — it was to rebalance with something steadier.
“If you’re freaked out because all of your tech has gone in one direction, you can balance that like a little kid’s teeter-totter on the playground with a stable stock like Chevron,” he said. Fitz-Gerald noted that it offers reliable dividends and has remained stable over time.
For Canadian investors, the TSX offers strong domestic equivalents. Suncor Energy (TSX:SU) and Canadian Natural Resources (TSX:CNQ) are the two most widely cited names for investors seeking oil-sector stability and income.
According to The Motley Fool Canada, both companies offer long-life, low-decline oil sands assets, strong cash flow and dependable dividends — meaning they generate returns regardless of how the broader market is performing (7).
In fact, CNQ raised its dividend for the 26th consecutive year in early 2026, with a yield of approximately 4%. Suncor runs the full pipeline — from its oil sands production, refining and Petro-Canada stations — and it pays a quarterly dividend yield over 3%. It’s also been steadily raising that annual dividend year after year (8).
The point of a stable stock is to keep your portfolio steady when the market gets bumpy. But it’s not always easy to tell between a stable, blue chip stock that will ride out stormy markets and a high-risk asset that could sink beneath the waves when things get choppy.
One way around this problem is hiring a financial advisor, who can certainly help guide you in your investing journey. But they can also be costly — and they aren’t always available when you need them.
For those who want stock tips at a moment’s notice, there are online stock analysis platforms like Motley Fool’s Stock Advisor Canada, which offers expert insight to help you make smart investing decisions, whenever you need it.
With Stock Advisor Canada, you get a long-term investing view that encourages investors to buy high-quality stocks that perform well over the long term. You can also benefit from their monthly stock recommendations, and for those looking for the hottest investment opportunities, they offer Best Buys Now picks.
What’s more, if Stock Advisor Canada isn’t for you, cancel within 30 days and you’ll receive every penny of your membership fee-back. No questions asked.
Once you’ve got the right advice, it’s time to think about where to actually start putting your dollars to work, even if the market feels expensive right now.
Don’t be nervous to buy stocks at a high — but keep fees low
Orman and Fitz-Gerald addressed a common concern: Investors who avoid buying because a stock has already climbed to a high will potentially miss out.
For example, when viewers were frustrated by recommendations to buy Chevron at what felt like a peak, the stock continued to climb even higher — those who passed on it missed the gains.
“I’ve learned that lesson the hard way. I thought I was being smart, I bailed out, I made mistakes, I lost money,” Fitz-Gerald told Orman. “But if you continue to lean in when you feel that way and you get uncomfortable, I’ve learned that’s a heck of a lot more profitable.”
One way to maximize your comfort is to minimize what economists call “transaction costs (9).” Transaction costs are exactly what they sound like — extra expenses, like commissions or fees, on top of the price of any good or service being exchanged.
While they might just be seen as “the cost of doing business,” having to pay a hefty commission on the trade of an already expensive stock might be the final deterrent that keeps you from making a good buy.
That’s why it’s always a good idea to shop around to find trusted brokerages that also offer minimal commissions on trades and account fees. For these intrepid investors, there are online platforms like CIBC Investor’s Edge, which lets them enjoy the dependability and security of one of Canada’s biggest banks without having to pay exorbitant commissions or fees.
With their comprehensive online trading platform, it actually pays to trade more. Active traders making over 150 trades a quarter can enjoy a discounted commission rate of $4.95 per trade. Plus, CIBC doesn’t charge any account or maintenance fees if the combined market balance of all accounts is greater than $10,000.
But trading stocks isn’t for everyone. For those investors who want to protect what they already have, Fitz-Gerald also recommended SGOV — a short-term U.S. Treasuries fund — as a “super safe” option with a decent return.
Canadian investors can find a domestic equivalent in Government of Canada Treasury Bills (T-bills) or short-term Guaranteed Investment Certificates (GICs). As of mid-May 2026, the best GIC rates in Canada range from 3.60% to 3.85% for terms between one and five years (10). Both GICs and T-bills can be held inside a TFSA or RRSP, allowing any interest earned to grow tax-free.
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What Canadians should do next
The emotional instinct to protect your savings when markets fall is natural. Here are some steps to help you stay rational when headlines are anything but.
Review your asset mix, not your daily balance. A well-diversified portfolio should include Canadian equities (including energy), international exposure and a fixed-income component. Check your allocation against your timeline, goals and risk tolerance rather than against this week’s TSX close.
Use your registered accounts strategically. If you’re holding cash on the sidelines, a TFSA is one of the most flexible places to put it. Any growth — whether from GICs, dividend stocks or equities — comes out tax-free. An RRSP is ideal if you’re set to earn higher income this year and want to defer taxes on contributions now.
Park short-term cash in something safe but productive. If you need stability right now, short-term GICs and Government of Canada T-bills are the domestic equivalent of Fitz-Gerald's SGOV recommendation. The Bank of Canada held its overnight rate at 2.25% on April 29, noting that inflation climbed to 2.4% in March due to higher oil prices linked to the war. The next rate decision is June 10, meaning deposit rates should remain steady in the near term (11).
Don’t let the war dictate your retirement timeline. If your RRSP or TFSA is invested in broadly diversified index funds, geopolitical shocks are priced in over time. Selling in a downturn locks in losses. Staying put — or adding on dips — is the strategy both Orman and Fitz-Gerald advocate for.
Consider Canadian energy as your “ballast.” With energy stocks now making up about 18% of the S&P/TSX Composite Index — up from roughly 16% before the war began — Canadian investors already have meaningful built-in exposure (12). If your portfolio is heavy in tech or growth stocks, adding dividend-paying energy names like CNQ or Suncor can help take some of the edge off, as Fitz-Gerald suggests with his teeter-totter analogy.
— with files from Melanie Huddart
Article sources
We rely only on vetted sources and credible third-party reporting. For details, see our editorial ethics and guidelines.
FRED (1); @SuzeOrman (2); The Associated Press (3); The Canadian Press (4, 6); CNBC (5); CNN (6); The Motley Fool Canada (7); NAI 500 (8); Investopedia (9); Ratehub.ca (10); Bank of Canada (11); Morningstar (12)
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Joanna Sinclair is an engagement editor for Moneywise. She holds a B.A. in Professional Writing from York University and has been working in digital media for nearly two decades.
