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“You can’t pump gold”: Goldman Sachs says gold has more in common with Manhattan real estate than oil — what does that mean for Canadians?

Goldman Sachs has compared gold to another rare and sought-after asset: Manhattan real estate.

“You can’t pump gold — but you can bid it out of someone’s hands. Gold doesn’t get used — it changes hands and gets repriced,” Goldman Sachs’ analysts wrote in a recent Sunday note.

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And this year, gold’s price has been skyrocketing, recently passing a record high of US$3,700 (C$5,200).

Like Manhattan real estate, the supply of gold is limited

Manhattan real estate is known for its limited supply, which is why it’s so expensive. More people want to live there than there are available homes to live in, making it a costly market to break into. As of July 2025, RentCafe notes that the average rent in Manhattan is US$5,620 (C$7,865) for a 695-square-foot apartment. The average price of homes listed for sale is US$1.4 million (C$2 million), according to Realtor.com.

Gold is similarly limited in supply. Almost all the gold ever mined still exists, hidden away in vaults, jewelry boxes and central bank reserves. And since only 1% of new gold is added to the existing 220,000 metric ton supply each year — its power lies not in its consumption, like oil and gas — but in its accumulation, like Manhattan real estate.

“Its market clears through changes in ownership, not production-versus-use balances,” Goldman’s analysts wrote. “The gold price reflects who’s more willing to hold it and who’s willing to let go.”

Supply and demand metrics — like how raising the price of gas could lead to people taking fewer road trips, thus slowing demand — don’t apply to gold, since the supply will always be limited.

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Conviction vs. opportunistic buyers

The Goldman report also identified two groups of gold buyers — “conviction buyers” like central banks, spectators and ETFs, and “opportunistic buyers,” meaning households in emerging markets.

Since opportunistic buyers only step in when the price is right, they provide a floor under the price of gold during sell-offs, but conviction buyers set the trend.

The Manhattan real estate market shares these two groups of buyers.

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“The total number of apartments is largely fixed, and the small amount of new construction each year is not what drives prices,” their analysts wrote. “What matters is the identity of the marginal buyer."

Manhattan conviction buyers are those with deep pockets who want to live there regardless of cost. Manhattan opportunistic buyers are those who will buy only if the price is right — if they can’t find a reasonable deal, they will live in Brooklyn or New Jersey instead.

A good time to invest in gold?

The unique comparison suggests that the current hype around gold isn’t going away anytime soon. Gold is attractive to investors because it has a solid reputation and is considered a safe-haven asset during economic uncertainty. Gold also helps to hedge against inflation and currency risk.

One way to dip into the gold market in Canada is to buy gold stocks or ETFs.

Gold stocks

Canadian gold stocks provide various ways to gain exposure to gold. For example, gold mining companies search for new gold deposits and development businesses that focus on turning gold deposits into mining production. Also, there are royalty and streaming companies that provide funding to gold mining companies, with the agreement that they will receive royalties based on future gold production.

When you choose a single company, its performance can offer potential growth and dividends. If the company faces operational, management or budgetary problems, they could impact its performance. So, gold stocks are best suited for active investors comfortable evaluating gold stocks and following industry trends.

Gold ETFs

Investors looking to gain exposure to the pure gold price could look into Canadian gold ETFs as a convenient and lower-risk option, as they avoid the volatility of investing in a single company. However, it does bring about commodity risk as its returns are directly tied to the value of the commodity.

Furthermore, gold doesn’t generate any income, nor does it yield any dividends. As a result, gold ETFs are most suitable for passive investors who want to protect themselves against economic turmoil but don’t want to spend time evaluating individual gold companies.

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Lisa Lagace Contributor

Lisa Lagace covers personal finance, real estate, and investing. She is passionate about helping people new to investing learn how to make their money grow.

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