Alternative Investments
Elon Musk attends the 2023 Viva Technology Conference in France in 2023 FotoField | Shutterstock

Elon Musk 1000% certain that America will go bankrupt — a warning to investors about crazy debt and how to shield your nest egg

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Elon Musk made headlines earlier this year with a blunt prediction: Without a productivity miracle from artificial intelligence (AI) and robotics, America is headed for economic ruin. "We are 1,000% going to go bankrupt and fail as a country," he said during a Feb. 5 appearance on the Dwarkesh Podcast.

While Musk’s feedback was for the state of American finances, the warning is just as applicable to Canadians and Canadian investors.

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And there are plenty of reasons to pay attention. Canada’s federal debt crested at just over $1,266.5 billion at the end of fiscal year 2024-25. According to the Montreal Economic Institute, the Carney government is now projecting a deficit of $78.3 billion for 2025-2026, up from $48.3 billion the year before, and that would mark the 10th consecutive year without a balanced federal budget. To put this in perspective, this means that every baby born in Canada now enters the world carrying more than $33,000 in federal debt.

One of the biggest problems with carrying large debt is the interest cost. Analysis from the Montreal Economic Institute shows our nation’s debt costs are projected to rise to $55.6 billion this fiscal year and to $76.1 billion by 2030 — a 37% spike.

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The slow erosion of your dollar

This isn't just an abstract number problem. When governments borrow beyond their means, the purchasing power of your money quietly shrinks, as well.

According to Statistics Canada's Consumer Price Index (CPI), $100 in 1970 is equivalent in purchasing power to about $813 today. In other words, a dollar now buys roughly 12 cents of a good or service back in 1970.

Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, the world's largest hedge fund, has warned repeatedly that we are in the late stages of a major debt cycle — and that the next shock is more likely to come from governments than from Wall Street. At the World Government Summit, Dalio described a scenario in which governments must borrow simply to pay interest — a vicious cycle he calls a "debt death spiral."

His prescription? Diversify. "There won't be a default," he said in remarks about central-bank dynamics. "The central bank will come in, and we'll print the money and buy it. And that's where there's the depreciation of [the value of] money."

Dalio's framework applies to Canada, too. Viewed through his "Big Cycle" lens — which examines how nations rise and decline through patterns of debt expansion, productivity growth and geopolitical pressure — Canada shows late-cycle characteristics: Rising debt, modest productivity growth and growing social tension tied to the housing affordability crisis.

The good news is that savvy investors have ways to protect their wealth, even when government fiscal math stops adding up.

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A safe haven worth reconsidering

To insulate investments from the effects of currency erosion and government debt, Dalio has consistently emphasized the value of diversification — and singled out one time-tested asset in particular.

"People don't have, typically, an adequate amount of gold in their portfolio," he said. "When bad times come, gold is a very effective diversifier.”

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Gold in Canadian dollars rose more than 57% in 2025 alone, and the precious metal has long served as a store of value. Unlike fiat currency, it can't be printed. Because it isn't tied to any single economy, investors have historically flocked to it during periods of economic turmoil or geopolitical uncertainty.

Other prominent voices see gold’s value in the investment portfolio. JPMorgan chief executive Jamie Dimon recently said gold could "easily" reach US$10,000 (C$14,100) an ounce in the current environment.

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How to invest in gold

Canadian investors have a few different ways to get exposure to gold and precious metals.

One of the easiest, tax-efficient ways is to add gold exposure by investing in a gold exchange-traded fund (ETF) through a tax-free savings account (TFSA) or a registered retirement savings plan (RRSP). Both registered accounts can hold gold ETFs listed on Canadian stock exchanges — such as the iShares Gold Bullion ETF (TSX: CGL), Purpose Gold Bullion Fund (TSX: KILO) or the Sprott Physical Gold Trust (TSX: PHYS). These ETFs offer liquid, low-cost exposure without the complexities of storing physical metal.

For instance, Wealthsimple lets investors trade shares of gold ETFs — funds that typically hold physical gold in vaults or track the price of gold. The best part is that shares in these funds can be purchased in a TFSA, RRSP, FHSA or in a non-registered account. The funds offer liquid, low-cost exposure without the complexities of storing physical metal.

Another option is to expand into precious metals — rather than focus solely on gold. Examples include Global X Silver Bullion ETF (TSX: HUZ), Sprott Physical Silver Trust (TSX: PSLV) and Global X Gold ETF (TSX: HUG).

Or consider investing in gold mining stocks, where you can buy shares of mining companies, such as Barrick (TSX: ABX), Agnico Eagle Mines (TSX: AEM), Wheaton Precious Metals (TSX: WPM) or Franco-Nevada (TSX: FNV).

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But what if you know you should be investing, but don’t want the guesswork of doing it alone? Wealthsimple portfolios offer an easy, hands-off way to grow your money. The pre-built portfolios are tailored to your financial goals, risk tolerance and investment horizon — whether you’re saving for retirement, a home or building long-term wealth.

Expert-managed and designed to weather market ups and downs, Wealthsimple takes care of the heavy lifting: Automatic contributions, dividend reinvesting and smart rebalancing keep your investments on track. Plus, you can invest through RRSPs, TFSAs or non-registered accounts, all from an intuitive online dashboard or their easy-to-use mobile app.

Trusted by more than three million Canadians, Wealthsimple manages over $100 billion in assets and provides $1 million in eligible coverage through the CDIC for chequing accounts and CIPF for investments. Plus, as licensed fiduciaries, Wealthsimple's advisors must put your financial interests first. As a Money.ca reader, get a $25 bonus when you open your first account and fund at least $1 within 30 days. Visit Wealthsimple for up-to-date terms and conditions.

For investors interested in holding physical gold, be sure to work with an approved custodian and purchase bullion that meets the Canada Revenue Agency's (CRA) purity requirements (at least 99.5% pure). For instance, Questrade lets you buy and sell physical precious metals — even holding physical gold inside a self-directed RRSP or TFSA. Open an account today and get $50 cash back, access to award-winning investment tools and pay no trading fees, no account opening fees and no annual fees on RRSP and TFSA accounts.

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Real estate without the landlord headaches

Gold isn't the only asset that has historically held its value during inflationary periods. Real estate has also proven to be a powerful hedge.

When inflation rises, property values often rise with it, reflecting higher costs for materials, labour and land. At the same time, rental income tends to increase, giving landlords a revenue stream that adjusts for inflation.

That said, Canada's real estate picture is nuanced right now. The national average home price sat at $658,300 in January 2026, which is about 22% below the $841,900 peak reached in early 2022. While the market has cooled significantly from its pandemic-era highs, the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) forecasts the national average price will rise 2.8% in 2026, reaching $698,881.

When most people think about investing in real estate, they picture massive down payments, midnight plumbing emergencies, and tedious tenant screenings. But diversifying your portfolio with alternative investments doesn’t have to mean taking on a second job as a landlord. Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) offer a savvy middle ground, allowing you to capture the income-generating potential of commercial, industrial, and residential properties—completely hands-free. By moving independently from traditional stocks and bonds, REITs provide a practical way to hedge against inflation and add steady distribution yields to your financial blueprint.

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With CIBC Investor’s Edge, tapping into this alternative asset class is as seamless as trading any standard stock. Using REITs, you have the entire real estate landscape right at your fingertips, giving you the flexibility to target specific, high-performing individual REITs or spread your risk across the sector with a mix of REITs and real estate ETFs. REITs offer broad real estate exposure with high liquidity, and can be held inside a TFSA, RRSP or First Home Savings Account (FHSA).

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What Canadian investors should do

The signals from global investors and domestic fiscal data point in the same direction: the time to build a more resilient portfolio is before a crisis, not after. Here are practical steps to consider:

Diversify beyond stocks and bonds. A portfolio concentrated in Canadian equities and fixed income leaves you exposed if a broad market correction coincides with continued currency erosion. Consider adding allocations in assets with low correlation to traditional markets — such as gold, real estate investment trusts and, if appropriate, alternative assets.

Use your registered accounts strategically. Your TFSA and RRSP are among the most powerful tools available to Canadian investors. A TFSA shelters growth and withdrawals from tax entirely; an RRSP provides an upfront deduction and tax-deferred growth. Both can hold gold ETFs, REITs and other diversifying assets.

Understand the cost of inflation on savings. Keeping large amounts of cash in a low-interest savings account may feel safe, but the data tells a different story. With inflation averaging roughly 3.8% per year since 1970 in Canada, money sitting idle is quietly losing purchasing power every year.

Check your debt charges versus your savings rate. Just as rising government interest payments crowd out other spending, high personal debt can crowd out saving and investing. Prioritize paying down high-interest debt before building out alternative investments.

Speak with a qualified financial adviser. The strategies outlined here — from gold ETFs to fractional real estate platforms — carry risks unique to each investor's situation. A licensed financial adviser or certified financial planner (CFP) can help tailor an approach to your goals, tax situation and risk tolerance.

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Jing Pan Investment Reporter

Jing is an investment reporter for Money.ca. Prior to joining the team, Jing was a research analyst and editor at one of the leading financial publishing companies in North America. Jing has covered numerous aspects of the financial markets, from blue chip dividend stocks to small cap tech stocks to precious metals and currency. An avid advocate of investing for passive income, he wrote a monthly dividend stock newsletter for the better half of the past decade. In his spare time, Jing plays basketball, the violin and the ukulele.

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